Bitcoin experienced a significant surge Thursday morning, crossing the $62,000 threshold to hit $62,190. This rally came in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s announcement of a decisive 50 basis point rate cut—the first such cut in over four years. Ethereum also climbed, reaching $2,435, up 5%, though it saw a modest 1% gain over the last two weeks compared to Bitcoin’s more dramatic rise.
Market Response to Fed’s Rate Cut
The rate cut took Wall Street by surprise, with many analysts expecting a more conservative 25 basis point reduction. This bolder move by the Fed is seen as an alignment with investor hopes for swift and impactful monetary policy adjustments amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
Volatility and Market Movements
Post-announcement, Bitcoin initially spiked to $61,300, then dipped to $59,400, before bullish momentum drove it to a high of $62,500. It later retracted slightly. This volatility sparked considerable activity in the derivatives market, with Coinglass reporting $204.3 million in crypto contract liquidations over the last 24 hours—$130.5 million in short positions and $73.8 million in long positions.
Analyst Insights
Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, mentioned that increased risk appetite following the Fed’s decision has been beneficial for cryptocurrencies, marking highs over the past three weeks. However, he noted, “The downtrend has been in place since March, and the previous peak of around $64K roughly coincides with the 200-day moving average. We assume that Bitcoin may encounter serious resistance at this level, overcoming which would clear the way up.”
Chris Aruliah, Head of Institution at Bybit, explained that historically, rate cuts have encouraged capital flow from banks into riskier assets like stocks and digital currencies. He cautioned, however, about the economic uncertainty and market fluctuations that could pose challenges.
On-Chain Data and Holder Behavior
On-chain analysis from CryptoQuant suggests that the behavior of Bitcoin holders, particularly those who have held for 1-3 months, could significantly influence price movements, acting as a key support or resistance level.
Avinash Shekhar, co-founder and CEO of Pi42, highlighted the dynamics around the critical $60,000 level: “Short-term holders have been selling since August, signaling a potential price bottom, while long-term holders are maintaining support above $60,000, creating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.”
The Path Forward
Shekhar added that further rate cuts could propel Bitcoin forward, emphasizing that the $60,000 level is a critical battleground. “A high above $62K can usher in bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $60K could extend selling pressure.”
Bitcoin’s ascent past $62,000 following the Federal Reserve’s rate cut reflects a growing sentiment that the crypto market could be on the verge of a bullish phase. As the market anticipates further monetary policy actions and navigates economic indicators, all eyes remain on these key resistance and support levels that will likely dictate the direction of Bitcoin’s near-term price movements.